Electric vehicles poor value proposition

I take little joy in that title, but…

With electric vehicle sales declining, at least in North America, and replacement rates reportedly demonstrating decreasing loyalty to “alt fuel” vehicles, an increasingly rare post from the wonderful “Do the Math” blog demands attention.

For me, energy is a hobby. I buy an expensive car and expensive solar batteries because I want to learn more about their pros and cons. In part, I am glad that I can export what I learn to the people. Most folks do not have the financial or technical capabilities to look into possibly-hyped technologies and report, free of financial agenda.

I am yet not personally convinced that we will see an EV revolution. Gasoline price fluctuations are a short-term killer of long-term planning. Batteries still do, and likely always will, disappoint. I am learning similar lessons on the nickel-iron battery front. We may have to face the fact that gasoline has been the ultimate transportation fuel, and the economists’ picture of universal substitutability may not apply. If EVs can never really outperform gasoline in cost, ease/simplicity, convenience, and robustness—and if they remain expensive to own and maintain, from where will the prosperity derive for us to all have such marvelous toys?

– read the entire post: Do the Math: My Chicken of an EV

Postscript

A day after posting this I noted a post at ecomento.com, Harris poll says interest in electric cars stagnant

The post starts off accepting one objection people have to electric vehicles, and quickly rejecting the rest:

The latest Harris poll reveals that Americans are no more interested in buying a hybrid, plug-in hybrid or electric car today than they were in 2013. That has troubling implications for climate advocates, governments and car companies.

The number one objection people who responded to the Harris pollsters have to those cars is price.

The rest of the objections all come down to one thing – lack of knowledge.

I don’t think dismissing other objections explains the decrease in the likelihood EV owners’ next purchase will be an EV.

But maybe they’re right.

Get an EV under $20,000 and we’ll find out.

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